With the benefit of recon starting to investigate PTC NINE, I've seen just enough to put out my first best guess as to NINE's maximum lifetime intensity.
Or looked at another way, about a 3% chance of not becoming a hurricane of any category and about a 97% chance of becoming at least a Cat 1 hurricane. An 80% chance of becoming a Major Hurricane (Cat 3, 4 or 5), and a 62% chance of becoming a high-end Major (Cat 4 or 5).
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