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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


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Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: Active Phase of Atlantic Continues into October
      Thu Oct 03 2024 09:34 AM

As with PTC#8's impact on the North Carolina coast in mid-September, no-name hybrid low pressure systems when combined with stalled frontal boundaries and strong gradient winds during peak lunar tides can produce as much or more damage than a tropical storm or low-end hurricane.

Regardless of a tropical entity organizing somewhere in the NW Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico or Bay of Campeche, consistent modeling suggests there will be several periods of strong onshore NE/E flow starting next week along Florida's east coast from the Cape northward, with a prolonged flow of moisture streaming out of the Gulf across the south half of the peninsula producing localized amounts of up to a foot of rain about the same time monthly tides peak (October 12-20th).

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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

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* Active Phase of Atlantic Continues into October cieldumort Thu Oct 03 2024 09:34 AM
. * * Re: Active Phase of Atlantic Continues into October IsoFlame   Thu Oct 03 2024 09:34 AM

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