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Clean up and rescue operations in the wake of major hurricanes Milton and Helene continue. No new threatening storms on the immediate horizon.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 6 (Milton) , Major: 6 (Milton) Florida - Any: 6 (Milton) Major: 6 (Milton)
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General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge
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JMII
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 540
Loc: Margate, Florida
Re: Milton Lounge
      Thu Oct 10 2024 11:35 AM

Gotta hand to the NHC they really nailed this track forecast. I calculated the spread from furthest N to furthest S center line was less then 60 miles, that is a crazy narrow window to focus on given the geographic scale of FL's gulf coast. Track errors favored a more northern solution that didn't verify in the end as Milton's wiggled his way SE. Advisory #5 from 10AM Sunday was basically spot on. Even the very the first advisory for TD#14 was almost perfect for landfall aside from timing (it was 12 hours too early). However (in my non-scientific opinion) in typical NHC fashion they over stated wind speeds using flight level values which never translate to ground level. Data is hard to come by right now so I look forward to seeing the off-season report with official wind speeds. I believe this was closer to a Cat 2 as dry air thankfully weaken Milton. Of course the NHC tends to avoid downgrading storms just before landfall fearing people will ignore "weak" storms.

I believe this storms legacy will be the insane number of strong tornadoes that were produced in central and eastern FL counties. And the so-called "miss" of Tampa Bay... again, despite the majority of plots putting Sarasota in the bull's eye. However we were only 20 to 30 miles from a completely different outcome.

None of this is to take away from the damage Milton caused and those lives that been sadly effected, just the perspective of someone who tracks these things with a high level of interest.

--------------------
South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for:
David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17
Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Milton Lounge cieldumort Thu Oct 10 2024 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 04:08 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Wed Oct 09 2024 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Wed Oct 09 2024 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Rhino7170   Wed Oct 09 2024 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Rhino7170   Wed Oct 09 2024 08:13 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Wed Oct 09 2024 08:34 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Wed Oct 09 2024 10:09 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 08:37 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Rhino7170   Wed Oct 09 2024 06:29 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Wed Oct 09 2024 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Wed Oct 09 2024 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Wed Oct 09 2024 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Wed Oct 09 2024 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 01:58 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge bob3d   Wed Oct 09 2024 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge bob3d   Wed Oct 09 2024 12:37 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Ed Ardzinski   Wed Oct 09 2024 01:18 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 11:39 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Thu Oct 10 2024 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 01:06 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Tue Oct 08 2024 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Tue Oct 08 2024 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 08 2024 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge OrlandoDan   Tue Oct 08 2024 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge OrlandoDan   Wed Oct 09 2024 05:40 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 06:46 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 09 2024 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge bob3d   Wed Oct 09 2024 07:41 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Ed Ardzinski   Wed Oct 09 2024 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 09 2024 10:06 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Wed Oct 09 2024 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Wed Oct 09 2024 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Wed Oct 09 2024 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge vineyardsaker   Tue Oct 08 2024 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Tue Oct 08 2024 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge kellyr   Tue Oct 08 2024 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 08 2024 07:05 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Tue Oct 08 2024 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 08 2024 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 08 2024 04:22 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge chase 22   Tue Oct 08 2024 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TheQueensBarge   Tue Oct 08 2024 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Mon Oct 07 2024 10:24 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Psyber   Mon Oct 07 2024 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Tue Oct 08 2024 06:27 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Oct 08 2024 08:08 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Tue Oct 08 2024 09:07 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Bloodstar   Tue Oct 08 2024 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Oct 08 2024 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Tue Oct 08 2024 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Tue Oct 08 2024 12:47 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Tue Oct 08 2024 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Owlguin   Tue Oct 08 2024 01:24 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Ed Ardzinski   Tue Oct 08 2024 12:18 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge GeorgeN   Tue Oct 08 2024 03:03 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Bloodstar   Tue Oct 08 2024 03:53 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 08 2024 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Oct 08 2024 10:30 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Lautermilch   Tue Oct 08 2024 11:25 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 08 2024 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge TXEB   Tue Oct 08 2024 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Tue Oct 08 2024 07:48 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Rhino7170   Tue Oct 08 2024 12:25 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Oct 07 2024 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Oct 07 2024 04:32 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Mon Oct 07 2024 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MichaelA   Mon Oct 07 2024 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Mon Oct 07 2024 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Psyber   Mon Oct 07 2024 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Mon Oct 07 2024 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sun Oct 06 2024 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge OrlandoDan   Sun Oct 06 2024 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sun Oct 06 2024 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Sun Oct 06 2024 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sun Oct 06 2024 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Ed Ardzinski   Sun Oct 06 2024 12:15 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge bob3d   Sun Oct 06 2024 12:28 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge criscr0smind   Sun Oct 06 2024 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Oct 06 2024 01:55 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Oct 06 2024 03:09 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Oct 06 2024 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge bob3d   Sun Oct 06 2024 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Oct 07 2024 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Mon Oct 07 2024 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Oct 07 2024 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge bob3d   Mon Oct 07 2024 11:13 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Oct 07 2024 09:51 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Oct 07 2024 02:09 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Mon Oct 07 2024 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Ed Ardzinski   Mon Oct 07 2024 09:42 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge OrlandoDan   Sun Oct 06 2024 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge OrlandoDan   Sun Oct 06 2024 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Sun Oct 06 2024 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sun Oct 06 2024 02:41 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Sun Oct 06 2024 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Oct 06 2024 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 05 2024 11:08 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Oct 06 2024 06:39 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Oct 06 2024 07:08 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Sun Oct 06 2024 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Sun Oct 06 2024 09:01 AM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 05 2024 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Oct 05 2024 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Sat Oct 05 2024 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 05 2024 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 05 2024 03:41 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge OrlandoDan   Sat Oct 05 2024 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge JMII   Sat Oct 05 2024 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 05 2024 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Milton Lounge Kraig   Sat Oct 05 2024 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L cieldumort   Fri Oct 04 2024 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L JMII   Sat Oct 05 2024 06:27 AM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L IsoFlame   Sat Oct 05 2024 09:32 AM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L MikeCAdministrator   Sat Oct 05 2024 10:09 AM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L bob3d   Sat Oct 05 2024 12:03 PM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L OrlandoDan   Sat Oct 05 2024 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L cieldumort   Fri Oct 04 2024 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Early Oct Invest 92L MichaelA   Fri Oct 04 2024 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof cieldumort   Sat Sep 28 2024 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof JMII   Mon Sep 30 2024 07:03 AM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof bob3d   Mon Sep 30 2024 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof JMII   Tue Oct 01 2024 06:43 AM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof Owlguin   Fri Oct 04 2024 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof IsoFlame   Fri Oct 04 2024 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof Lamar-Plant City   Fri Oct 04 2024 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof JMII   Fri Oct 04 2024 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof JumadukeFL   Sat Oct 05 2024 08:51 PM
. * * Re: Caribbean Wave S.Am Trof MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 28 2024 10:44 AM

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