Based on the last several days of runs, the weather highlights for the next 2 weeks along Florida's east coast will be a continuation of the past week- an extended period of moderate to strong onshore flow off the Atlantic during multiple high (but thankfully not peak) fall tide cycles.
While having a hard time latching onto any TC organizing, I still believe the environment in the Carribean Sea and Bahamas could support a tropical or hybrid storm- a closed sub-1000 mb low riding the Gulf Stream just offshore along Florida's east coast following Election Day.
The slower evolution of a TC in the Caribbean, followed by a northward movement possibly coinciding with the retreat of a stalled frontal boundary over the Florida peninsula and finally progressive movement of the strong high that has dominated the western Atlantic for weeks will allow the low an escape route as the axis of the high pulls away from Bermuda.
Regardless of what evolves, the ingredients will be in place for moderate to severe coastal impacts. Not good for areas north of the Cape that were battered by Milton's exit just 3 three weeks ago.
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Re: Late Oct/Early Nov Carib
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