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General Discussion >> 2025 Forecast Lounge
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 411
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses
      Mon May 05 2025 02:14 PM

Quote:

The Atlantic is cooler than average this year by 2 degrees, but that won't affect the number of tropical systems much if at all. Last year we only got one system from that region. The rest was from the Gulf and the Caribbean which I think is going to happen this year too. Prediction: 20 named storms.



While 20 may be a little above what I'll say (thinking 16-17 ATM), I'm in TOTAL AGREEMENT WITH with western Caribbean and GOMEX being the where the bulk of TC's ultimately develop. That's not to say that the Atlantic won't sow some impressive long-lived waves that search for favorable environmental conditions for tropical cyclogenesis. Check out today's 12z GFS run that suggests around May 20 a strong pre-season TC will come up from the south, cross Cuba into the Bahamas:

GFS

Last several runs have been consistent with this thought. We'll see...

--------------------
CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

Edited by IsoFlame (Mon May 05 2025 02:17 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses MikeCAdministrator Mon May 05 2025 02:14 PM
. * * Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses IsoFlame   Sun Jun 08 2025 07:40 AM
. * * Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses cieldumort   Sat May 31 2025 07:38 PM
. * * Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses bob3d   Sun Jun 01 2025 11:36 AM
. * * Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses IsoFlame   Sun Jun 01 2025 02:16 PM
. * * Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses Psyber   Fri May 30 2025 06:06 PM
. * * Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses Ken S.   Tue May 27 2025 02:54 PM
. * * Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses M.A.   Thu May 22 2025 08:28 AM
. * * Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses IsoFlame   Mon May 05 2025 02:22 PM
. * * Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses bob3d   Tue Apr 29 2025 07:36 AM
. * * Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses IsoFlame   Mon May 05 2025 02:14 PM
. * * Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses Ken S.   Thu Apr 17 2025 01:51 PM
. * * Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses Prospero   Fri May 02 2025 10:44 PM

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