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Archives 2020s >> 2025 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2705
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses
Sat May 31 2025 07:38 PM

It's been an honor and privilege being part of our community since 2006, and a frequent visitor/lurker before that.

My preseason best guesses for the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season are as follows:

18 Depressions 17 Storms 9 Hurricanes 5 Majors 195 ACE
Most likely range: 16-20 Depressions, 15-20 Storms, 8-10 Hurricanes, 4-6 Majors and 175-215 ACE

It appears to me that there is greater risk of an upside surprise than downside surprise to these preseason best guesses. Regardless, it also seems more likely than not that landfalls will occur close to if not on the CONUS, with probably a 75% or greater chance of at least one CONUS hurricane landfall this year and at least 60% or greater chance of at least one Major CONUS landfall this year.

My initial bid for 2025: 17 Storms, 9 Hurricanes and 5 Majors

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	MikeC	Sat May 31 2025 07:38 PM
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	IsoFlame	Sun Jun 08 2025 07:40 AM
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	cieldumort	Sat May 31 2025 07:38 PM
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	bob3d	Sun Jun 01 2025 11:36 AM
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	IsoFlame	Sun Jun 01 2025 02:16 PM
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	Psyber	Fri May 30 2025 06:06 PM
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	Ken S.	Tue May 27 2025 02:54 PM
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	M.A.	Thu May 22 2025 08:28 AM
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	IsoFlame	Mon May 05 2025 02:22 PM
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	bob3d	Tue Apr 29 2025 07:36 AM
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	IsoFlame	Mon May 05 2025 02:14 PM
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	Ken S.	Thu Apr 17 2025 01:51 PM
Re: 2025 Atlantic Season Guesses	Prospero	Fri May 02 2025 10:44 PM

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