Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 199530 Years of Hurricanes Without the Hype - Since 1995


Atlantic has a 30% chance of something resembling a TC late this week. EPAC remains on fire.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 264 (Milton) , Major: 264 (Milton) Florida - Any: 264 (Milton) Major: 264 (Milton)
Rem Barry
ADV#7 5:00 am EDT
23.0N 99.2W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1008mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

General Discussion >> 2025 Forecast Lounge
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged:
Posts: 4671
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: 94E Crossover Watch
      Tue Jun 17 2025 01:46 PM

94E is now Tropical Storm Erick, and forecast to be a category 2 at landfall just east of Acapulco, Mexico Thursday morning. This is close to the same area where Otis hit in 2023, which went from a Tropical Storm to category 5 hurricane in less than 24 hours.

Nhc discussion on intensity:

The environment appears ideal for rapid strengthening. Vertical
shear is expected to be very low, with the cyclone moving over
waters of around 29 degrees Celsius and within a moist
mid-level environment of around 80 percent relative humidity.
As a result of these conditions, Rapid intensification (RI) indices
are rather high, particular for the 36- and 48-hour periods. The
NHC intensity forecast explicitly shows RI occurring while Erick
approaches the coast of southern Mexico, with a 48-hour intensity
just below major hurricane strength. Despite this increase in the
forecast intensity, there are still a few models (including the
normally skillful HCCA aid) that show Erick reaching major
hurricane strength, and additional upward adjustments in the
forecast could be required later today.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Erick / 94E Crossover Watch cieldumort Tue Jun 17 2025 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Erick / 94E Crossover Watch cieldumort   Sun Jun 22 2025 02:18 PM
. * * Re: 94E Crossover Watch cieldumort   Tue Jun 17 2025 03:06 AM
. * * Re: 94E Crossover Watch cieldumort   Sun Jun 15 2025 11:27 AM
. * * Re: 94E Crossover Watch MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 16 2025 07:44 AM
. * * Re: 94E Crossover Watch MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jun 17 2025 01:46 PM
. * * Re: 94E Crossover Watch MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 18 2025 01:37 PM
. * * Re: 94E Crossover Watch MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 18 2025 04:04 PM
. * * Re: 94E Crossover Watch cieldumort   Sat Jun 14 2025 01:28 PM

Extra information
1 registered and 4 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 1066

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center