Barry in the Bay of Campeche

11AM EDT Update 29 June 2025
TD2 has just barely become Tropical Storm Barry, possibly the worst looking excuse for a name since way back to Andrea. Nonetheless, the cyclone qualifies and will likely produce very heavy rains and some flooding across inland eastern Mexico over the coming days.
Ciel

9AM EDT Update 29 June 2025
Tropical Depression 2 is in the Bay of Campeche now, still forecast to become a minimal tropical storm before landfall in Mexico. Next name is Barry.

There is a new yellow area along the northeast gulf extending over Florida into the Southeast with a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days. Even if nothing develops from it quite a bit of heavy rain, particularly the end of the week, will be found in much of central and northern Florida and Georgia/South Carolina, including the July 4th holiday.

4PM CDT Update 28 June 2025
Invest 91L has become our second Tropical Cyclone of the year in the Atlantic basin, set to best climatology by over two weeks as the depression is forecast to become Tropical Storm Barry before making landfall along the eastern Mexican coastline late Sunday night or Monday. A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the Gulf coast of Mexico from Boca de Catan southward to Tecolutla.

Original Update

Base image credit: Weathernerds.org

Our second Invest-tagged feature of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season is also likely to become our second named storm, unusual in getting back-to-back names out of the very first two Invests should this occur, and also unusual - although not as much so since 1995 - in that this would be well ahead of climatological average for our second name in this basin.

The next name on the list in 2025 is Barry. Interesting side note, the second named storm of 1995 was also Barry.

As of this new update, recon is presently sampling the area within and around Invest 91L and is also confirming that a well-defined circulation appears to be forming within the most recent blowup of convection. With this trend continuing, Tropical Storm Watches and/or Warnings may be issued for portions of the Mexican Gulf coast at any time.

We do already have a Forecast Lounge up on this one to delve deeper into the models and personal best guesses: Barry Lounge

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