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Barry now inland over eastern Mexico. Flooding and mudslides a risk there the next few days. Elsewhere, now watching SE US for next weekend potential development.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 263 (Milton) , Major: 263 (Milton) Florida - Any: 263 (Milton) Major: 263 (Milton)
Barry
ADV#6 11:00 pm EDT
22.0N 97.8W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Nw at 9 mph
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MikeCAdministrator
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Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Invest TBD Southeast Development July 4 Weekend
      Sun Jun 29 2025 06:01 PM

I don't think this will develop, but it will still cause a lot of rain and some localized flooding, here's the GFS ensemble tracks. A lot rides on exactly where it consolidates, if it's over land it's not going to amount to much more than rain. Although if that occurs it's still possible for it to form off the Atlantic, but it'll be away from land at that point. Wet week in Florida mostly.

GFS Ensembles probably show the better spread, as does the google. Euro doesn't handle this situation very well (if something does form later it will however)


12 GFS ensembles:


12z euro ensembles:


12z Google models:


turned on the long term radar recording for it though here


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* Invest TBD Southeast Development July 4 Weekend cieldumort Sun Jun 29 2025 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Invest TBD Southeast Development July 4 Weekend MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 29 2025 06:01 PM

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