Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 199530 Years of Hurricanes Without the Hype - Since 1995

Invest 93L up to 40% chance to develop. Large band fueled by seabreeze storms and 93L still moving through parts of the Florida West coast, but should die down overnight.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 278 (Milton) , Major: 278 (Milton) Florida - Any: 278 (Milton) Major: 278 (Milton)

NEWS

CURRENT STORMS

Invest 93L Click for Invest Information from CIMSS

Click for Invest Information from CIMSS

HypeScale: 1.39

COMMUNICATION

STORM DATA

CONTENT

FOLLOW US

National Hurricane Center

You are not logged in. [Login]

Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

General Discussion >> 2025 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
Moderator

Reged:
Posts: 2522
Loc: Austin, Tx

93L Forecast Lounge
Sun Jul 13 2025 10:16 AM

Above img cr: College of DuPage NEXLAB

We are now tracking an incipient trof of low pressure off the southeast coast, forecast by many models to develop into a closed low. Given its proximity to land and the overnight blowup of deep convection to the east and northeast of Florida, we are already starting a Forecast Lounge on this feature, despite the lack of an official Invest tag. The next tag on the list should be 93L.

While model support from most global operational runs has not been especially impressive, their individual ensemble members and several of the hyper-focused runs of convection allowing models (CAMS) advertise the potential for development into a TD even before crossing Florida from the east, ultimately to land into the northeastern Gulf, where conditions for more significant development could exist.

Tracking forecasts suggest that this area of low pressure could come ashore somewhere from as far east as between the far western Florida panhandle to as far west as the upper Texas coast, with more probable locations roughly in the middle of these points, but it is still very early and a bona fide low has yet to even form. Much more fine-tuning to come.

The title will be changed if/once an Invest tag is added to this feature. Current NHC odds of development are near 0% within 48 hours and 20% within 7 days, but this seems likely to go up, perhaps substantially, by tonight.

The trof we have been following off the southeast coast has now been Invest tagged, 93L, and the title has been updated accordingly.
Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Mon Jul 14 2025 02:18 PM)

Post Extras

Print Post

Remind Me!

Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
93L Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Sun Jul 13 2025 10:16 AM
Re: 93L Forecast Lounge	bob3d	Mon Jul 14 2025 06:51 PM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sun Jul 13 2025 04:49 PM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	MikeC	Sun Jul 13 2025 06:16 PM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	MikeC	Sun Jul 13 2025 07:35 PM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	MikeC	Sun Jul 13 2025 10:52 PM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	MikeC	Sun Jul 13 2025 11:39 PM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	IsoFlame	Mon Jul 14 2025 09:22 AM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	CFHC	Mon Jul 14 2025 10:49 AM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	MikeC	Mon Jul 14 2025 11:14 AM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	MikeC	Mon Jul 14 2025 11:57 AM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	CFHC	Mon Jul 14 2025 01:52 PM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	MikeC	Mon Jul 14 2025 05:11 PM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	MikeC	Mon Jul 14 2025 05:42 PM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	MikeC	Mon Jul 14 2025 08:19 PM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	MikeC	Sun Jul 13 2025 01:35 PM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	MikeC	Sun Jul 13 2025 03:05 PM
Re: SE Trof Invest TBD	MikeC	Sun Jul 13 2025 04:17 PM

Extra information

1 registered and 21 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 741

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center