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General Discussion >> 2025 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 93L Forecast Lounge
      Tue Jul 15 2025 01:58 AM



Recent scatterometer data confirms that the circulation of 93L remains elongated.

Deeper convection is still largely shunted to the south and southwest by 15-25 knots of north to northeasterly shear. This shear is largely expected to lessen to under 20 knots with perhaps a window of under 15 knots, if/once 93L enters the northeastern Gulf.


93L's current level of development is about in the middle of what over a dozen different models were showing 36 hours out as to what the system would look like at this time, suggesting that perhaps they have an OK handle on its development, for now.

Interestingly and somewhat perplexingly, 18z and 0z runs have cooled on 93L's development odds. This may be in part owing to a number of models insisting that the main area of vorticity actually comes ashore somewhere around the FL/GA border, with only the southern end of it left to drift into the Gulf. While that scenario seems plausible, there hasn't been any meaningful trend in that direction, so far.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Atlantic/Gulf Area (93L Round 2) cieldumort Tue Jul 15 2025 01:58 AM
. * * Re: Atlantic/Gulf Area (93L Round 2) cieldumort   Thu Jul 24 2025 06:15 PM
. * * Re: Atlantic/Gulf Area (93L Round 2) MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 22 2025 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Atlantic/Gulf Area (93L Round 2) MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 24 2025 11:34 AM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Jul 19 2025 03:49 PM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge CFHCAdministrator   Tue Jul 22 2025 10:00 AM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Wed Jul 16 2025 07:48 PM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 17 2025 07:20 AM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Wed Jul 16 2025 07:01 PM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Jul 15 2025 06:21 PM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 16 2025 07:12 AM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge CFHCAdministrator   Wed Jul 16 2025 10:49 AM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 16 2025 02:39 PM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Jul 15 2025 03:32 PM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Jul 15 2025 01:44 PM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Jul 15 2025 01:17 PM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Jul 15 2025 11:09 AM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 15 2025 12:06 PM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Jul 15 2025 06:48 AM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 15 2025 07:18 AM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Jul 15 2025 10:49 AM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Jul 15 2025 11:02 AM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Jul 15 2025 01:58 AM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Jul 15 2025 02:20 AM
. * * Re: 93L Forecast Lounge bob3d   Mon Jul 14 2025 06:51 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD cieldumort   Sun Jul 13 2025 04:49 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 13 2025 06:16 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 13 2025 07:35 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 13 2025 10:52 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 13 2025 11:39 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD IsoFlame   Mon Jul 14 2025 09:22 AM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD CFHCAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2025 10:49 AM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2025 11:14 AM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2025 11:57 AM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD CFHCAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2025 01:52 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2025 05:11 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2025 05:42 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 15 2025 04:09 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2025 08:19 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 13 2025 01:35 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 13 2025 03:05 PM
. * * Re: SE Trof Invest TBD MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 13 2025 04:17 PM

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