following up the 6z gfs is starting to bend more toward the euro, which recurves the system corruently about to exit Africa well before Bermuda. This time the gfs (on the 6z run) shows a strong hurricane landfall near Charleston, but I suspect in future runs it'll shift even further east and more aligned with the euro.;
For the area off the southeast most models ar seeing it go to South Carolina and remaining relatively weak.
Euro does show another wave behind the african one moving into the Caribbean though.
So more activity, but nothing too concerning yet.
Why? The euro ensembles show it, but it's about ridging lasting that long and the weakness caused by Dexter, which will more than likely be enough to draw the wave up and out, along with an upper level low potentially eroding that ridge. There's a few stray ensemble members from a system over the Bahamas in a week worth at least noticing here too for Florida/Gulf.
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