12z euro and euro ai stays weak with the Cabo Verde wave and keeps it east of Bermuda still.
However, behind that one it decided to go completely ballistic with as it crosses the Atlantic, and winds up with a Cat 5 in the Bahamas around Aug 19th. Still way too far in advance to take seriously, but that's typically not something the euro does.
euro ensembles are very active.
Short term, mdr is still stable, but it's gradually becoming more favorible for tropical development during the middle of the month. This is really the most useful information to be gained from the models before anything has developed.
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