Overnight models show the wave behind 96L being the one to watch the closest. The two low key areas, Bahamas and east of the Lesser Antilles have dropped off for the most part although the lesser Antilles one less so, and 96L itself may still get close to Bermuda, so it's important for those there to watch.
Models generally show a very active mid to late August, but too early to say specifics on where things wind up.
Euro ensembles below:
0z GFS shows the wave east of 96L entering the Caribben potentially affecting some of the leewards, Jamaica, Caymans, Cuba, and eventually toward Northeastern Texas. The 0z euro surprisingly aligns with that as well. But also has a system east of it (Similar to the 18z gfs) but this one goes over Berumda. the 0z GFS also takes 96L over Bermuda, but Euro takes 96L well east of it. It does try to develop the wave east of the lesser antilles, but is on/off with it .
The 6z GFS takes 96L slightly west of Bermuda, and the system behind it is north of the Caribbean and follows 96L -- much weaker. It also develops the minor wave east of the lesser Antilles again in the Caribbean, but keeps it weak. Bermuda should definitely continue to watch 96L closely.
General climatology and odds favor both 96L and the wave behind it both recurving before the US, but it's a lot less a sure bet for the wave behind 96L. With the uptick in activity about to come in mid to late August there should be plenty to watch. The in Africa wave doesn't have a shot to become an invest area until Sunday or Monday though, so lots of time for things to change on it, even longer for anything to really develop, which is the next milestone, which because of the situation in the MDR, isn't a sure thing it will.
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