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Invests 92L and 93L in the Atlantic. Invest 93C in the Central Pacific may pose a very serious threat to Hawaii later this week.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 670 (Milton), US Major: 670 (Milton), FL Any: 670 (Milton), FL Major: 670 (Milton)

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Archives 2020s >> 2025 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2748
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: 97L Forecast Lounge
Sun Aug 10 2025 10:55 AM

Above: AIFS ENS 8/10/25/06z

The most recent run of the Euro AI (AIFS) ensembles above, from 06z today, hint at a potential move towards the US at the most extended ranges.

A recent comparison study of the accuracy of the AIFS mean (black line in the above image) to the GFS mean and ECMWF mean showed a slight increase in skill over those two.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 10 2025 10:55 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Mon Aug 18 2025 03:46 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	Bloodstar	Mon Aug 18 2025 09:23 PM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 16 2025 05:27 PM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 16 2025 02:48 PM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 16 2025 10:00 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 13 2025 07:26 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	CFHC	Wed Aug 13 2025 02:49 PM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 13 2025 05:32 PM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 14 2025 06:22 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	IsoFlame	Thu Aug 14 2025 11:29 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 15 2025 06:45 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sat Aug 16 2025 10:46 AM
Re: Erin Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sat Aug 16 2025 01:54 PM
Re: 97L Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Sun Aug 10 2025 10:55 AM
Re: 97L - East Atlantic Wave (40%)	cieldumort	Sun Aug 10 2025 10:38 AM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Sat Aug 09 2025 06:28 AM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Sat Aug 09 2025 02:11 PM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Sun Aug 10 2025 07:15 AM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Sun Aug 10 2025 12:38 PM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Mon Aug 11 2025 06:47 AM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Mon Aug 11 2025 06:58 PM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Mon Aug 11 2025 08:40 PM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	MikeC	Tue Aug 12 2025 07:21 AM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	Kraig	Tue Aug 12 2025 04:58 PM
Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)	OrlandoDan	Tue Aug 12 2025 12:48 PM

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