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General Discussion >> 2025 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
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Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%)
      Mon Aug 11 2025 06:47 AM

Overnight models and ensembles have set up pretty well for a ridge to build and retrograde in with a trough in about 7-8 days, leading to a recurve of the system. Which is pretty healthy looking right now, but difficult to pinpoint location exactly so it's not being tracked as a depression or storm yet, it could later today though, but it's unlikely to develop much more for a few more days (maybe around 50 west), so development early on isn't really guaranteed, which is why I think the NHC is holding classification. It's not a bad call given the environment ahead of it.

Bermuda needs to watch, the rest of us just need to monitor for changes, but they are honestly pretty unlikely. The northeast would be the most likely impacted if things were delayed a bit.

Models overnight kept it offshore (Except for Newfoundland) and west of Bermuda, event the euro AI. It's going to be close to Bermuda though, so those there need to watch the most. With the Canadian Maritime provinces being second. Anything else would need a pretty drastic change to the general trends, something to monitor for, but if anything it would shift recurve slightly east or west of the current ensemble means. Changes to look out for are any southwest dips and ridging changes.


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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 11 2025 06:47 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Mon Aug 18 2025 03:46 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge Bloodstar   Mon Aug 18 2025 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Aug 16 2025 05:27 PM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Aug 16 2025 02:48 PM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Aug 16 2025 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 13 2025 07:26 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge CFHCAdministrator   Wed Aug 13 2025 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 13 2025 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 14 2025 06:22 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Aug 14 2025 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 15 2025 06:45 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 16 2025 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 16 2025 01:54 PM
. * * Re: 97L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 10 2025 10:55 AM
. * * Re: 97L - East Atlantic Wave (40%) cieldumort   Sun Aug 10 2025 10:38 AM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 09 2025 06:28 AM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 09 2025 02:11 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 10 2025 07:15 AM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 10 2025 12:38 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 11 2025 06:47 AM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 11 2025 06:58 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 11 2025 08:40 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 12 2025 07:21 AM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) Kraig   Tue Aug 12 2025 04:58 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) OrlandoDan   Tue Aug 12 2025 12:48 PM

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