Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 199530 Years of Hurricanes Without the Hype - Since 1995


Watching a 20% area in the east Antialnic. Conditions ahead of it are not very condusive for development. Right now, odds keep it likely weak/no development and it curves east of Bermuda.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 323 (Milton) , Major: 323 (Milton) Florida - Any: 323 (Milton) Major: 323 (Milton)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

General Discussion >> 2025 Forecast Lounge
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2594
Loc: Austin, Tx
Stealthy Low in NE Gulf now Offshore of Carolinas
      Mon Aug 11 2025 04:48 PM


Above: NE Gulf Low Visible 8/11/25/2046z

An area of low pressure off the west coast of Florida we have been paying attention to has consolidated more, and as of this morning had become a somewhat well-defined low with winds up to gale-force in spots. While not yet Invest tagged, NHC did add it to their 2PM TWO this afternoon with a "Near Zero" odds of development.

It appears that operational models haven't been handling this system very well. ECMWF ensembles OTOH have been suggesting something like a 33-45% chance of it becoming a TD early this week before coming ashore in north Florida.

Given the markedly improved structure today and the fact that it is already producing some serious flooding inland, we are starting a Lounge on this feature regardless of whether it is Invest tagged or not.

Interests in the northeast Gulf may want to pay closer attention given the pockets of strong wind and very heavy thunderstorms, and those along the coast and inland may want to have a ready source of weather watches and warnings given how much rain has already fallen and could continue to fall so long as this low is in the region.

Edited by cieldumort (Fri Aug 15 2025 03:26 PM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Stealthy Low in NE Gulf now Offshore of Carolinas cieldumort Mon Aug 11 2025 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Stealthy Low in NE Gulf now Offshore of Carolinas cieldumort   Fri Aug 15 2025 04:13 PM
. * * Re: Stealthy Low in NE Gulf cieldumort   Fri Aug 15 2025 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Stealthy Low in NE Gulf cieldumort   Wed Aug 13 2025 02:45 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 4 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 1496

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center