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General Discussion >> 2025 Forecast Lounge
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MikeCAdministrator
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Re: Erin Forecast Lounge
      Wed Aug 13 2025 07:26 AM

Overnight models runs, particularly the GFS are highlighting Bermuda, or close, with the exception of the Icon which is much further left/southwest of the others. Bermuda could be in the cone around Saturday or Sunday, and if it were to impact Bermuda it would be 7-8 days out (Wed/Thursday next week).

I won't be going to Bermuda like I did for Ernesto last year.

Today things to watch for are how far south Erin manages to get before starting to turn more due west and west northwest, and a smaller system southeast of Erin that may be part of the reason its being tugged south. The main difference between GFS/Euro and the icon is the strength of the ridge to the Northeast of Erin. Pretty confident it'll turn out to sea before the US with all this, it's more about how much impacts Bermuda will get. Euro ensembles don't have any making US landfall now, GFS still has 1/2. Vast Majority are close to Bermuda.


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 13 2025 07:26 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Mon Aug 18 2025 03:46 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge Bloodstar   Mon Aug 18 2025 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Aug 16 2025 05:27 PM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Aug 16 2025 02:48 PM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Aug 16 2025 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 13 2025 07:26 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge CFHCAdministrator   Wed Aug 13 2025 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 13 2025 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 14 2025 06:22 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Aug 14 2025 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 15 2025 06:45 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 16 2025 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Erin Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 16 2025 01:54 PM
. * * Re: 97L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 10 2025 10:55 AM
. * * Re: 97L - East Atlantic Wave (40%) cieldumort   Sun Aug 10 2025 10:38 AM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 09 2025 06:28 AM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 09 2025 02:11 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 10 2025 07:15 AM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 10 2025 12:38 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 11 2025 06:47 AM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 11 2025 06:58 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 11 2025 08:40 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 12 2025 07:21 AM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) Kraig   Tue Aug 12 2025 04:58 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Wave (30%) OrlandoDan   Tue Aug 12 2025 12:48 PM

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