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A closed low has formed in the Bay of Campeche (SW Gulf) and may be getting better organized.
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2680
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Erin Drawing Closer to East Coast/Bermuda and 98L in SW Gulf
      Fri Aug 15 2025 09:30 AM

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 15th day of the month at 12:25Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF98-5308
Storm Name: Erin
Storm Number & Year: 05 in 2025 (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 04

A. Time of Center Fix: 15th day of the month at 12:02:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 18.03N 55.26W
B. Center Fix Location: 710 statute miles (1,143 km) to the E (92°) from San Juan, Puerto Rico (U.S.).
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 3,059m (10,036ft) at 700mb
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 998mb (29.47 inHg) - Extrapolated
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center (Undecoded): NA
F. Eye Character: Closed
G. Eye Shape: Elliptical (oval shaped)
G. Orientation of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 90° to 270° (E to W)
G. Length of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 10 nautical miles
G. Length of Minor Axis in Elliptical Eye: 4 nautical miles
H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 27kts (31.1mph)
I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 30 nautical miles (35 statute miles) to the WSW (237°) of center fix at 11:53:30Z
J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 314° at 22kts (From the NW at 25.3mph)
K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 3 nautical miles to the SW (230°) of center fix at 12:01:00Z
L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 65kts (74.8mph)
M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 19 nautical miles (22 statute miles) to the NE (46°) of center fix at 12:07:30Z
N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 134° at 75kts (From the SE at 86.3mph)
O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 19 nautical miles (22 statute miles) to the NE (46°) of center fix at 12:07:30Z
P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 13°C (55°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,052m (10,013ft)
Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,051m (10,010ft)
R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 9°C (48°F)
R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
S. Fix Level: 700mb
T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1.25 nautical miles

Remarks Section:

Maximum Flight Level Wind: 75kts (~ 86.3mph) which was observed 19 nautical miles (22 statute miles) to the NE (46°) from the flight level center at 12:07:30Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: 700mb

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Erin begins to leave the stage as others start to step in MikeCAdministrator Fri Aug 15 2025 09:30 AM
. * * Why bother Robert   Thu Aug 21 2025 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Erin Approaching Bahamas Turning More North Today cieldumort   Wed Aug 20 2025 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Erin Approaching Bahamas Turning More North Today CFHCAdministrator   Wed Aug 20 2025 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Erin Approaching Bahamas Turning More North Today cieldumort   Mon Aug 18 2025 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Erin Drawing Closer to East Coast/Bermuda and 98L in SW Gulf CFHCAdministrator   Mon Aug 18 2025 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Erin Drawing Closer to East Coast/Bermuda and 98L in SW Gulf cieldumort   Sat Aug 16 2025 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Erin Drawing Closer to East Coast and Islands cieldumort   Sat Aug 16 2025 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Erin Drawing Closer to East Coast/Bermuda and 98L in SW Gulf MichaelA   Sat Aug 16 2025 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Erin Drawing Closer to East Coast/Bermuda and 98L in SW Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 16 2025 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Erin Drawing Closer to East Coast/Bermuda and 98L in SW Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 15 2025 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Erin Drawing Closer to East Coast/Bermuda and 98L in SW Gulf cieldumort   Fri Aug 15 2025 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in the East Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 14 2025 08:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in the East Atlantic CFHCAdministrator   Thu Aug 14 2025 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in the East Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 13 2025 07:52 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in the East Atlantic Kraig   Tue Aug 12 2025 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in the East Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 11 2025 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in the East Atlantic cieldumort   Mon Aug 11 2025 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Watcihing a Long Track in Mid-August CFHCAdministrator   Mon Aug 11 2025 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Watcihing a Long Track in Mid-August MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 11 2025 09:51 AM
. * * Re: Watcihing a Long Track in Mid-August MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 10 2025 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Watcihing a Long Track in Mid-August MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 10 2025 08:21 AM

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