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Watching a 20% area in the east Antialnic. Conditions ahead of it are not very condusive for development. Right now, odds keep it likely weak/no development and it curves east of Bermuda.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 323 (Milton) , Major: 323 (Milton) Florida - Any: 323 (Milton) Major: 323 (Milton)
PTC Fernand
ADV#19 5:00 am EDT
41.2N 42.9W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1009mb
Moving:
Ene at 23 mph
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2594
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Basin Enters Peak
      Sun Aug 24 2025 04:25 PM

Today's 12z and 18z intensity guidance suggests that should 99L survive, which presently looks to be about a coin toss but decreasing, a majority calls for steady-state to even gradual strengthening for several days. Currently, 99L is estimated to have 35 knot max sustained winds at the surface based on scatterometer data and Dvorak classifications. Recon so far marginally supports this estimated max sustained wind as well.







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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Basin Enters Peak cieldumort Sun Aug 24 2025 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Basin Enters Peak cieldumort   Sun Aug 24 2025 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Basin Enters Peak MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 24 2025 07:59 AM
. * * Re: Basin Enters Peak cieldumort   Sat Aug 23 2025 04:24 PM

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