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#Imelda has been quite windy on Bermuda. After Imelda, we are watching the basin for what could also be an active October (TBD)
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 357 (Milton) , Major: 357 (Milton) Florida - Any: 357 (Milton) Major: 357 (Milton)
PTC Imelda
ADV#24 11:00 am EDT
33.2N 59.5W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 980mb
Moving:
Ene at 29 mph
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General Discussion >> 2025 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2628
Loc: Austin, Tx
Humberto Lounge
      Mon Sep 22 2025 01:22 PM



A robust wave presently located in the Tropical Atlantic about halfway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cabo Verde Islands has strong but conflicting model support for development, with most models very warm on its chances, but the GFS cool as ice. Ultimately, a lot of what happens with this wave may be influenced by the trends from the lead wave ahead of it, presently located east of the Leewards.

Considering that most models are hot on this wave, that NHC is also giving it a 70% chance of TC formation, and a future track that could follow Gabrielle and even left (west) of where Gabrielle has gone, thereby possibly putting Bermuda in play, we are starting a Lounge on this system at this time. Invest tag TBD.

The wave in the Tropical Atlantic we have been tracking was Invest tagged overnight, 93L, and the title has been updated accordingly
2025-09-23 06:00 14.2N 47.6W 20 KTS

Humberto Sep 24. The title has been updated accordingly.
2025-09-24 18:00 19.8N 54.5W 35 KTS
Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Wed Sep 24 2025 05:03 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Humberto Lounge cieldumort Mon Sep 22 2025 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 27 2025 10:19 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Lounge cieldumort   Fri Sep 26 2025 09:35 AM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 24 2025 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Central Tropical Atlantic Wave cieldumort   Mon Sep 22 2025 10:41 PM

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