New Article: CSU releases 2026 season numbers, slightly below average. https://flhurricane.com
Days since last Hurricane Landfall —
US Any:
567 (Milton),
US Major:
567 (Milton),
FL Any:
567 (Milton),
FL Major:
567 (Milton)
cieldumort
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Posts: 2664
Loc: Austin, Tx
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Re: Humberto Lounge
Sat Sep 27 2025 10:19 AM
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As Humberto has been stronger than models have forecast, it has been unsurprising to see that earlier the cyclone wandered a touch south of west, and thus south of forecast.
Humberto is now probably Cat 5 or very soon will be, as I write this. This is sooner than most models forecast, if they even did forecast Humberto to strengthen this much, at all. Therefore, there could continue to be a more southerly bias to Humberto's track at least in the near term (which is still more likely to be WNW-NW-NNW-N-NE-out-to-sea, overall*), as it will more easily feel the general steering flow in a much taller column. Something to keep a lookout for, as this could mix things up some, both for Humberto, as well as NINE.
*Edited for clarification
Above: CIMSS Steering Product 200-700 hPa for TCs <940mb
Edited by cieldumort (Sat Sep 27 2025 10:59 AM)
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