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Archives 2020s >> 2025 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2691
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Humberto Lounge
Sat Sep 27 2025 10:19 AM

As Humberto has been stronger than models have forecast, it has been unsurprising to see that earlier the cyclone wandered a touch south of west, and thus south of forecast.

Humberto is now probably Cat 5 or very soon will be, as I write this. This is sooner than most models forecast, if they even did forecast Humberto to strengthen this much, at all. Therefore, there could continue to be a more southerly bias to Humberto's track at least in the near term (which is still more likely to be WNW-NW-NNW-N-NE-out-to-sea, overall*), as it will more easily feel the general steering flow in a much taller column. Something to keep a lookout for, as this could mix things up some, both for Humberto, as well as NINE.

*Edited for clarification

Above: CIMSS Steering Product 200-700 hPa for TCs <940mb

Edited by cieldumort (Sat Sep 27 2025 10:59 AM)

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Humberto Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Sep 27 2025 10:19 AM
Re: Humberto Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Sep 27 2025 10:19 AM
Re: Humberto Lounge	cieldumort	Fri Sep 26 2025 09:35 AM
Re: 93L Lounge	MikeC	Wed Sep 24 2025 10:48 AM
Re: Central Tropical Atlantic Wave	cieldumort	Mon Sep 22 2025 10:41 PM

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