Operational models and ensembles, including the extraordinarily impressive Google AI ensembles, are very bullish on development of a wave about to exit western Africa into the far eastern Atlantic. Steering forecasts and trends further suggest a track that could take the system, developed into a TC or not, close to if not across the Lesser Antilles late in the runs. Considering the very strong signal for this feature, not yet an Invest but likely to be Invest tagged within 72-144 hours if forecasts begin verifying, we are opening a lounge for discussions of it at this time.
The wave in the far eastern Atlantic we have been tracking was Invest tagged overnight, 95L, and the title has been updated accordingly. 2025-10-05 06:00 8N 25.9W 25 KTS
This system has continued to become better organized and advisories are forthcoming for Tropical Storm Jerry on Oct 7th. The title has been updated accordingly. 2025-10-07 12:00 11.3N 43.8W 40 KTS
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