Melissa has seen several center relocations over the past few days. This morning, several more recentered the cyclone further into the deep convection, to the southeast of forecast locations.
Most recent recon data combined with most recent microwave imagery suggests that an inner core may now be forming within the deep convection. Melissa has responded, with maximum sustained winds of about 60 MPH and pressure now down to about 999mb.
The chapter of Melissa's intensification has begun, and has done so a little bit south and east of where it was expected to commence. This may have some implications for duration over water (probably longer) and how much the cyclone feels and responds to changing steering currents building in from her north (possibly ultimately ending up a little west or west-southwest of where progged for 72-96 hours, as just one potential outcome).
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Re: Melissa in the Caribbean
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