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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK) AOI 10%
Thu Jun 11 2026 12:50 PM

Model update: Nearly all of today's 06z, 12z and 15z runs of both the operational Globals and CAMs (Convection Allowing Models) continue to develop a closed low-level area of low pressure in the western Gulf in about 36-48 hours, of varying flavors of weak sauce. However, the western Gulf is a mechanically favored area for genesis and strengthening, often getting underbid by model runs that do not yet have an "Invest" to work off of.

As of this morning, the tropical wave starting to cross Central America from the western Caribbean has begun ingesting the remnant circulation of former east Pac tropical storm Cristina, and this could help jump start things enough for an Invest tag to be added once this conglomeration is in the Gulf. For now, a tentative recon mission into the Bay of Campeche has not been set.

Trends are also being closely monitored for flooding potential, regardless of development.

Edited by CFHC (Fri Jun 12 2026 09:50 AM)

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Thu Jun 11 2026 12:50 PM
Re: PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Jun 16 2026 01:17 PM
Re: INVEST 90L	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 06:45 PM
Re: INVEST 90L	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 02:41 PM
Re: INVEST 90L	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 02:57 PM
Re: INVEST 90L	CFHC	Mon Jun 15 2026 03:20 PM
Re: NW Gulf Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 01:08 PM
Re: NW Gulf Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 02:42 AM
Re: NW Gulf Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sun Jun 14 2026 11:58 PM
Re: NW Gulf Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sun Jun 14 2026 03:30 PM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	MikeC	Sun Jun 14 2026 12:14 PM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sun Jun 14 2026 02:01 PM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sat Jun 13 2026 02:03 PM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sat Jun 13 2026 04:28 AM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	CFHC	Fri Jun 12 2026 09:52 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Fri Jun 12 2026 01:34 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Fri Jun 12 2026 01:07 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK) AOI 10%	cieldumort	Thu Jun 11 2026 12:50 PM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Wed Jun 10 2026 02:38 PM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	CFHC	Thu Jun 11 2026 10:40 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Wed Jun 10 2026 12:44 PM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Wed Jun 10 2026 11:46 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	CFHC	Wed Jun 10 2026 10:53 AM

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