I strongly suspect that it closed off intermittently, but that was its weakness - reverting back to wave/trof too often - might have been able to pull it off with another 24 hours over water. Now that it is over land and barely recognizable, I have more doubts than ever about its chances to become a tropical cyclone, and find it curious that NHC has actually increased development odds to 30% over the next 7 days. The EURO and its ensembles have been bullish, but a lot of that bullishness is actually over land and probably has more to do upper-level support and perhaps also brown ocean biases of that particular model.