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Tropical Storm Warning issued for the coast of Louisiana from Sabine Pass to Morgan City. PTC One likely to become Arthur within 24 hours.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 615 (Milton), US Major: 615 (Milton), FL Any: 615 (Milton), FL Major: 615 (Milton)

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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge

CFHC

Reged:
Posts: 206
Loc: East Central Florida

Re: INVEST 90L
Mon Jun 15 2026 03:20 PM

Euro ensembles very active with 90L here. Vort chart isn't showing it well since the rotation is so small, at least not yet.
Beyond these Ensembles, the GFS keeps it over land, however icon, AI GFS, Canadian do bring it out over the water. The 50/50 seems like a good estimate. Its window to strengthen is short, but the pattern may allow it (with a lot of baroclinic enhancement)

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 03:20 PM
Re: PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Wed Jun 17 2026 04:36 AM
Re: PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Jun 16 2026 09:59 PM
Re: PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Jun 16 2026 10:12 PM
Re: PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Jun 16 2026 08:05 PM
Re: PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Jun 16 2026 01:17 PM
Re: INVEST 90L	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 06:45 PM
Re: INVEST 90L	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 02:41 PM
Re: INVEST 90L	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 02:57 PM
Re: INVEST 90L	CFHC	Mon Jun 15 2026 03:20 PM
Re: NW Gulf Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 01:08 PM
Re: NW Gulf Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 02:42 AM
Re: NW Gulf Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sun Jun 14 2026 11:58 PM
Re: NW Gulf Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sun Jun 14 2026 03:30 PM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	MikeC	Sun Jun 14 2026 12:14 PM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sun Jun 14 2026 02:01 PM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sat Jun 13 2026 02:03 PM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sat Jun 13 2026 04:28 AM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	CFHC	Fri Jun 12 2026 09:52 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Fri Jun 12 2026 01:34 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Fri Jun 12 2026 01:07 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK) AOI 10%	cieldumort	Thu Jun 11 2026 12:50 PM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Wed Jun 10 2026 02:38 PM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	CFHC	Thu Jun 11 2026 10:40 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Wed Jun 10 2026 12:44 PM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Wed Jun 10 2026 11:46 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	CFHC	Wed Jun 10 2026 10:53 AM

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