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Arthur degenerates to a low pressure area. However impacts sill occurring in LA/MS/AL

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 617 (Milton), US Major: 617 (Milton), FL Any: 617 (Milton), FL Major: 617 (Milton)

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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Reged:
Posts: 2705
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: PTC ONE Lounge
Tue Jun 16 2026 08:05 PM

Deep-layer shear is starting to impinge quite a bit on the western side of ONE. It is going to need to move out over the warm gulf water soon so it can have its best chance to develop the deep convection needed to fend it off and begin moving more with the flow so that shear is reduced, especially if a good upper-level outflow channel can develop.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Arthur Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Jun 16 2026 08:05 PM
Re: Arthur Lounge	cieldumort	Wed Jun 17 2026 08:54 PM
Re: Arthur Lounge	cieldumort	Wed Jun 17 2026 08:49 PM
Re: Arthur Lounge	cieldumort	Wed Jun 17 2026 08:35 PM
Re: Arthur Lounge	cieldumort	Wed Jun 17 2026 04:19 PM
Re: Arthur Lounge	cieldumort	Wed Jun 17 2026 11:39 AM
Re: PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Wed Jun 17 2026 04:36 AM
Re: PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Jun 16 2026 09:59 PM
Re: PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Jun 16 2026 10:12 PM
Re: PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Jun 16 2026 08:05 PM
Re: PTC ONE Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Jun 16 2026 01:17 PM
Re: INVEST 90L	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 06:45 PM
Re: INVEST 90L	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 02:41 PM
Re: INVEST 90L	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 02:57 PM
Re: INVEST 90L	CFHC	Mon Jun 15 2026 03:20 PM
Re: NW Gulf Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 01:08 PM
Re: NW Gulf Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Mon Jun 15 2026 02:42 AM
Re: NW Gulf Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sun Jun 14 2026 11:58 PM
Re: NW Gulf Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sun Jun 14 2026 03:30 PM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	MikeC	Sun Jun 14 2026 12:14 PM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sun Jun 14 2026 02:01 PM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sat Jun 13 2026 02:03 PM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	cieldumort	Sat Jun 13 2026 04:28 AM
Re: W Gulf Closed Low Invest TBD	CFHC	Fri Jun 12 2026 09:52 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Fri Jun 12 2026 01:34 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Fri Jun 12 2026 01:07 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK) AOI 10%	cieldumort	Thu Jun 11 2026 12:50 PM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Wed Jun 10 2026 02:38 PM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	CFHC	Thu Jun 11 2026 10:40 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Wed Jun 10 2026 12:44 PM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	cieldumort	Wed Jun 10 2026 11:46 AM
Re: EPAC Vorticity Cross-Over (Invest UNK)	CFHC	Wed Jun 10 2026 10:53 AM

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