Overall, several of the more traditional models' ensembles, such as the EURO's EPS, performed fairly well and arguably better than the GDM (Google DeepMind) with regard to both development and intensity. GDM had only a very few of its ensemble members showing development at all. However, of the GDM members that did, they performed far better than traditionals for where genesis would occur.
As for future track and intensity, here are a few of the most recent runs (Images and plots credit: polarwx.com):
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