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93C in the Central Pacific is now PTC ONE. NHC Advisories for Hawaii are being created. Elsewhere, Atlantic Invest 93L is now Tropical Storm Cristobal, out at sea.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 672 (Milton), US Major: 672 (Milton), FL Any: 672 (Milton), FL Major: 672 (Milton)
FlHurricane Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracking 🌀 Since 1995
Cristobal
ADV#4 5:00 am EDT
38.6N -38.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1014mb
Moving:
Present movement...ne or 45 degrees at 16 mph...26 km/h
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Invest 94LClick for Invest Information from CIMSS
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2.20
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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumortModerator
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Posts: 2757
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Invest 92L Lounge
      Tue Aug 11 2026 03:59 PM

Big jump up among the FNV3 ensembles this afternoon, now assigning an implied 53% chance of development, which looks reasonable if not maybe even a little conservative. NHC still at 70%. Environmental conditions for TC genesis are not ideal, but far from prohibitive, and the low pressure is already fairly well defined.



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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Invest 92L Lounge MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 11 2026 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 13 2026 02:22 AM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 13 2026 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 13 2026 02:04 AM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Aug 11 2026 11:18 PM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Aug 11 2026 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Aug 11 2026 03:59 PM
. * * Re: East AOI (60%) South of Cabo Verde MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 11 2026 07:56 AM
. * * Re: East AOI (60%) South of Cabo Verde cieldumortModerator   Tue Aug 11 2026 02:58 AM
. * * Re: East AOI (60%) South of Cabo Verde CFHCAdministrator   Mon Aug 10 2026 02:52 PM

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