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98L is struggling with high shear while east of Bermuda

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 708 (Milton), US Major: 708 (Milton), FL Any: 708 (Milton), FL Major: 708 (Milton)

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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2866
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Late Sept/early October hurricane (major?) in the GOMEX
Thu Sep 17 2026 10:35 PM

Neither NHC or CPC are biting yet.

I find the entire GFS family of models, including the AI version, to hallucinate an awful lot of hurricanes in the Atlantic basin, especially in the longer ranges, and even more so in the western Atlantic.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Late Sept/early October hurricane (major?) in the GOMEX	IsoFlame	Thu Sep 17 2026 10:35 PM
Re: Late Sept/early October hurricane (major?) in the GOMEX	cieldumort	Thu Sep 17 2026 11:59 PM
Re: Late Sept/early October hurricane (major?) in the GOMEX	cieldumort	Thu Sep 17 2026 10:35 PM

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