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A coastal storm could acquire tropical characteristics near the Mid Atlanitc later this week. Out near Hawaii, xTD15 forecast to redevelop. Lounges up on both.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 712 (Milton), US Major: 712 (Milton), FL Any: 712 (Milton), FL Major: 712 (Milton)

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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2872
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Modeled Wet Hybrid Cyclone off Mid-Atlantic
Mon Sep 21 2026 11:06 PM

The DeepMind FNv3 ensembles, which attempt to forecast the formation of warm-cored, tropical cyclones (as opposed to classic Nor'easters), most recently has increased implied chances of tropical cyclone formation in or around the Gulf Stream with this system to 27%, with a mean genesis time of 90 hours out from 18z today.

Credit: TC-ATLAS

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Modeled Wet Hybrid Cyclone off Mid-Atlantic	cieldumort	Mon Sep 21 2026 11:06 PM
Re: Modeled Wet Hybrid Cyclone off Mid-Atlantic	cieldumort	Mon Sep 21 2026 11:06 PM
Re: Modeled Wet Hybrid Cyclone off Mid-Atlantic	cieldumort	Sun Sep 20 2026 10:15 PM
Re: Modeled Wet Hybrid Cyclone off Mid-Atlantic	cieldumort	Sun Sep 20 2026 10:08 PM

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