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POLO LANDFALLS IN MX. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN SW US TUES PM/WED AM. HISTORIC MULTI-STATE MULTI-DAY MODERATE RISK FOR FLOODING UNDERWAY.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 719 (Milton), US Major: 719 (Milton), FL Any: 719 (Milton), FL Major: 719 (Milton)

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General Discussion >> Other Storm Basins

cieldumort
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Reged:
Posts: 2893
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Hurricane Polo
Tue Sep 29 2026 01:13 AM

Most recent Globals + Hurricane Model runs on Polo

Note that a lot of these runs that show Polo well in to the United States are tracking remnant or post-tropical cyclone low pressure and not necessarily Polo as a still-intact tropical cyclone. Polo's interaction with the approaching upper-level low and dynamics related to terrain are still likely to result in an area of low pressure almost if not indistinguishable from an inland tropical cyclone with regard to impacts, regardless, and there is still some chance that Polo maintains as a TC into the US

06z Track Suite

06z Intensity Suite

OFCI is the official NHC forecast, which is well below the model guidance as can be seen above, and could be on the conservative side

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Hurricane Polo	cieldumort	Tue Sep 29 2026 01:13 AM
Re: Hurricane Polo	cieldumort	Tue Sep 29 2026 02:11 AM
Re: Hurricane Polo	cieldumort	Tue Sep 29 2026 01:13 AM
Re: Hurricane Polo	cieldumort	Mon Sep 28 2026 12:28 AM
Re: Hurricane Polo	cieldumort	Mon Sep 28 2026 12:09 AM
Re: Hurricane Polo	cieldumort	Sun Sep 27 2026 11:47 PM
Re: Polo (Cat 5 Presently) Already Impacting SW US	cieldumort	Thu Sep 24 2026 01:00 AM
Re: Polo (Cat 5 Presently) Already Impacting SW US	cieldumort	Thu Sep 24 2026 12:19 AM

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