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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD
Wed Sep 30 2026 09:12 AM

In general, this window favors development from all the usual suspects in and around the Gulf. However, anything that might want to form from a front in the northern Gulf could just trend more subtropical or at the very least sheared/struggling, while anything that might want to form in the Bay of Campeche (Central American Gyre-born/EPac crossover/tropical wave) looks to have much better odds of being purely tropical with potentially a higher intensity ceiling. Upper level winds/lift forecast to become quite favorable over the BoC during the middle of this window, as can be seen below.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD	cieldumort	Wed Sep 30 2026 09:12 AM
Re: W Carib-Gulf Window Oct 6-14 Invest TBD	cieldumort	Wed Sep 30 2026 09:12 AM

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