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General Discussion >> 2026 Forecast Lounge

IsoFlame
Weather Analyst

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Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...

Hybrid system late October east of Florida/north of Bahamas?
Tue Oct 13 2026 08:41 AM

Given the pattern of fronts pushing into Florida on a weekly basis (but not yet scouring out moisture for more than a day or two), followed by high pressure setting up strong onshore flow across the peninsula, it would not be an "October surprise" to see models start to lock in on a hybrid system spinning up in the Atlantic east of Florida and north of the Abacos later in October. Several recent model runs hint at this.

Regardless of cyclogenesis, multi-day episodes of strong onshore winds, especially during the last week of the month when King tides peak, could be very impactful along Florida's east coast.

I was 26 living on a sailboat working at a county park just north of Sebastian Inlet... the analog storm still etched in my memory: Nov_1984_storm.pdf

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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

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Hybrid system late October east of Florida/north of Bahamas?	IsoFlame	Tue Oct 13 2026 08:41 AM

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