Looks to be short lived, but it's quite possible that Celia is right behind. If HF's notation that (deeper in the season) Atl development is 5-9 days behind, I'd say we'd have Alex by the end of the month. However, MJO and dry air, plus Saharan dust seem conspiring against it, I think at this point in time Alex may have to wait...
Still, a couple of waves to track...the atlantic a "jack in the box" just waiting to crank in August...don't think we're too quiet for too much longer.
Cheers,
LI Phil
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"