Models are based on fixed variables; human intuition is sometimes an intangible necessity, but you can't take that to the bank. Something is not right with the models but I have faith in NHC to fairly adjust their predictions based on the physical evidence as well. It costs a ton of money to cry wolf and set off emergency management protocols needlessly or without physical justification!
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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Re: Eye becoming Polar shaped
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