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Barry now inland over eastern Mexico. Flooding and mudslides a risk there the next few days. Elsewhere, now watching SE US for next weekend potential development.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 264 (Milton) , Major: 264 (Milton) Florida - Any: 264 (Milton) Major: 264 (Milton)
23.0N 99.2W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1008mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2002 Storm Forum

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Invest 91L
      Wed Aug 14 2002 10:35 PM

An active tropical wave is located east of Trinidad and Tobago near 10.5N 57W at 15/02Z. The system has pulsed with periods of convective activity as it moved across the Atlantic. No circulation is currently evident. The tropical wave is located in an area of light northerly shear and the shear should remain light for the next few days. Brisk low-level easterly flow around the Atlantic ridge is speeding the system westward at 25-30mph while upper-level currents are just about non-existent. With this scenario, development does not seem likely - anything that gets started in the lower levels will outrun itself as it builds to the upper levels. Beyond the next two or three days the system should slow down as the easterlies weaken, and if it still holds together, it would stand a better chance for development at that time.
Cheers,
ED

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* Invest 91L Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Aug 14 2002 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L LoisCane   Thu Aug 15 2002 04:04 AM

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