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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 273 (Idalia) , Major: 273 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 273 (Idalia) Major: 273 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

danielw
Moderator

Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Re: RELIEF!!!
Thu Aug 19 2004 01:10 AM

Maybe this will help some folks out!

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED 18 AUG 2004

TROPICAL WAVE...REMNANTS OF T.S. EARL...IS OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA ALONG 88W S OF 20N MOVING W 20-25 KT. ASSOCIATED
CONVECTION IS INLAND WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN 88W-91W.
...DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...
SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG
30N FROM N FLORIDA TO E TEXAS. RESULTING SURFACE WINDS OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO ARE FROM THE EAST AT 10 KNOTS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DUE
MOSTLY TO THE REMNANTS OF T.S. EARL. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER FLORIDA FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN
80W-82W DUE TO AIR MASS HEATING. IN THE UPPER LEVELS... AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER THE BAHAMAS NEAR
22N77W. UPPER LEVEL WINDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO ARE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AT 30-50 KNOTS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
ON THE SURFACE...STRONG EASTERLIES DOMINATES THE CARIBBEAN SEA.
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA HAS PATCHES OF
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ESPECIALLY FROM
8N-18N BETWEEN 82W-85W...ALSO DUE TO THE REMNANTS OF T.S. EARL.
OVER THE SE CARIBBEAN MOISTURE FROM AN APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE
IS OVER TRINIDAD AND THE WINDWARD ISLANDS FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN
55W-63W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS N OF
PUERTO RICO NEAR 22N63W. CYCLONIC FLOW IS OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN
N OF 15N BETWEEN 56W-70W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN N OF 12N BETWEEN 63W-80W.

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Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Earl Falls Apart, Danielle Cat 2 Fish Spinner	MikeC	Thu Aug 19 2004 01:10 AM
48W 10N	Cocoa Beach	Wed Aug 18 2004 07:26 PM
First Cane.	LadyStorm	Wed Aug 18 2004 10:06 AM
Re: First Cane.	GuppieGrouper	Wed Aug 18 2004 11:57 AM
Re: First Cane.	MikeC	Wed Aug 18 2004 02:07 PM
Re: First Cane.	Allison	Wed Aug 18 2004 03:55 PM
Re: WAVES	LONNY307	Wed Aug 18 2004 07:30 PM
Re: WAVES	Steve hirschb.	Wed Aug 18 2004 08:26 PM
Re: WAVES	LONNY307	Wed Aug 18 2004 09:44 PM
Re: WAVES	LI Phil	Wed Aug 18 2004 07:55 PM
Re: WAVES	Keith234	Wed Aug 18 2004 09:57 PM
Re: WAVES	met	Wed Aug 18 2004 10:11 PM
i'm hearin' ya.	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 18 2004 10:44 PM
Re: i'm hearin' ya.	Anonymous	Thu Aug 19 2004 12:14 AM
Re: i'm hearin' ya.	BillD	Thu Aug 19 2004 01:53 AM
Re: RELIEF!!!	danielw	Thu Aug 19 2004 01:10 AM
Re: RELIEF!!!	rmbjoe1954	Thu Aug 19 2004 10:21 AM
Re: RELIEF!!!	Steve hirschb.	Thu Aug 19 2004 11:05 AM
question on mjo	LoisCane	Thu Aug 19 2004 11:46 AM
Re: question on mjo	Steve	Thu Aug 19 2004 01:50 PM
Re: question on mjo	Cycloneye	Thu Aug 19 2004 02:07 PM
cyclone... please clarify	bobbistorm	Thu Aug 19 2004 06:29 PM
Re: cyclone... please clarify	Cycloneye	Thu Aug 19 2004 07:27 PM
Re:CHANGES	LONNY307	Thu Aug 19 2004 08:13 PM
out there a bit	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 19 2004 10:25 PM
Re: out there a bit	RedingtonBeachGuy	Thu Aug 19 2004 11:16 PM
Re: out there a bit	Anonymous	Fri Aug 20 2004 08:23 PM
question and.. beautiful new wave over Africa	bobbistorm	Fri Aug 20 2004 08:53 PM
next week	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 20 2004 09:58 PM
Re: next week	rmbjoe1954	Fri Aug 20 2004 11:14 PM
Re: next week	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 21 2004 12:50 AM
Re: next week	HanKFranK	Sat Aug 21 2004 05:49 AM
New Wave Off Africa	rmbjoe1954	Sat Aug 21 2004 10:16 AM
Re: next week	Keith234	Sat Aug 21 2004 01:17 AM
Re: next week	LadyStorm	Sat Aug 21 2004 10:13 AM
Re: next week	Keith234	Sat Aug 21 2004 02:52 PM
Someone start a counter	LoisCane	Fri Aug 20 2004 02:48 AM
NOAA Updated Hurricane Forecast	LI Phil	Fri Aug 20 2004 04:25 PM
Re: cyclone... please clarify	Anonymous	Thu Aug 19 2004 06:54 PM
Re: question on mjo	Anonymous	Thu Aug 19 2004 03:39 PM
Re: RELIEF!!!	Anonymous	Thu Aug 19 2004 10:19 AM
Re: RELIEF!!!	k___g	Thu Aug 19 2004 01:54 AM
Re: RELIEF!!!	1234	Thu Aug 19 2004 04:43 AM
Re: RELIEF!!!	Sissy	Thu Aug 19 2004 05:23 AM
Re: WAVES	GuppieGrouper	Wed Aug 18 2004 10:04 PM
Re: WAVES	Clark	Wed Aug 18 2004 10:36 PM
Power back	Maxx NFM	Tue Aug 17 2004 02:26 PM
Re: Power back	joepub1	Tue Aug 17 2004 05:07 PM
Re: Power back	Steve hirschb.	Tue Aug 17 2004 06:50 PM
Re: Power back	AlphaCane	Tue Aug 17 2004 08:29 PM
Re: Power back	Ronn	Tue Aug 17 2004 09:17 PM
quieter still	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 17 2004 10:06 PM
Re: quieter still	Cycloneye	Tue Aug 17 2004 10:26 PM
Re: quieter still	1234	Wed Aug 18 2004 12:27 AM
wave in the atlantic	bobbistorm	Tue Aug 17 2004 11:16 PM
Re: wave in the atlantic	h2ocean	Wed Aug 18 2004 01:43 AM
Re: wave in the atlantic	LI Phil	Wed Aug 18 2004 01:50 AM
Re: never know about being in Harms way.	Old Sailor	Wed Aug 18 2004 02:26 AM
Re: wave in the atlantic	met	Wed Aug 18 2004 02:00 AM
my forecast update	Rabbit	Tue Aug 17 2004 06:59 PM
Re: my forecast update	Anonymous	Tue Aug 17 2004 07:59 PM
Re: my forecast update	LI Phil	Tue Aug 17 2004 09:03 PM
Re: my forecast update	Anonymous	Tue Aug 17 2004 07:23 PM
Re: Earl Falls Apart, Danielle Cat 2 Fish Spinner	LI Phil	Mon Aug 16 2004 11:15 PM
Re: Charley aftermath, Earl and new wave	Tropics Guy	Tue Aug 17 2004 12:35 AM
Re: Stories	RedingtonBeachGuy	Tue Aug 17 2004 12:06 AM
personal/business	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 17 2004 01:08 AM
Re: Stories	recmod	Tue Aug 17 2004 12:35 AM
Re: Stories	BillD	Tue Aug 17 2004 01:38 AM
Video	Jamiewx	Tue Aug 17 2004 02:34 AM
Re: Video	BillD	Tue Aug 17 2004 03:09 AM
Re: Danielle and earl	danielw	Tue Aug 17 2004 07:05 AM
Re: Danielle and earl	GuppieGrouper	Tue Aug 17 2004 11:21 AM
Earl's future	LI Phil	Tue Aug 17 2004 02:22 PM
Re: Earl's future	rmbjoe1954	Tue Aug 17 2004 05:22 PM
Re: Earl's future	LI Phil	Tue Aug 17 2004 06:49 PM
Re: Earl's future	Rabbit	Tue Aug 17 2004 06:45 PM
Re: Earl's future	gary	Tue Aug 17 2004 05:04 PM
Re: Video	LI Phil	Tue Aug 17 2004 02:54 AM
Re: Stories	Anonymous	Tue Aug 17 2004 01:32 AM
Re: Earl Falls Apart, Danielle Cat 2 Fish Spinner	Former Floridian	Mon Aug 16 2004 11:49 PM

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