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Tropical Storm Warning issued for the coast of Louisiana from Sabine Pass to Morgan City. PTC One likely to become Arthur within 24 hours.

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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

LI Phil
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)

Re: 96L very close to being a TD-not at 5:00
Tue Aug 24 2004 04:52 PM

Doesn't look like we'll have TD6 at 5:00...I'd also be surprised if we have one by 11:00 either. I do see this developing into a hurricane, but very slowly. By Thursday we may see a marked intensification, but for now, status quo. Taking it's sweet time and waiting for the perfect moment to explode. Be very interested to see how this one plays out.

Waves are JUST STACKED up off Africa...this could be a very active end to the month/beginning of September. Just what we don't need. I don't see the future Frances spinning the fishes...not even giving it 50/50.

>>> This season has thus far seemed to be very "troffy"; I doubt it will make it to the islands. As the season progresses the trofs will only become more common in the central and western Atlantic

Fled, is this based on sound meterological reasoning or just a gut feel...either way it's OK, was just wondering on what you are basing that statement. The TUTT will definitely be making a impact -- assisting with development but also possible recurvature. How deep and how strong remains to be seen. I don't see much affecting 96L because it's still really too weak to be affected by such things...and it's almost to 40W. Not a good sign.

Still sick, but back to work

tomorrow. Keep your eye on the sparrow...

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Activity Again	Ed Dunham	Tue Aug 24 2004 04:52 PM
Re: Activity Again	Anonymous	Mon Aug 23 2004 10:56 AM
Re: Activity Again	James88	Mon Aug 23 2004 11:17 AM
Re: Activity Again	Rabbit	Mon Aug 23 2004 12:06 PM
Re: Activity Again	James88	Mon Aug 23 2004 03:10 PM
is the cape verde way a real slow mover?	bobbi	Mon Aug 23 2004 03:29 PM
Re: is the cape verde way a real slow mover?	Keith234	Mon Aug 23 2004 03:48 PM
Re: is the cape verde way a real slow mover?	Steve	Mon Aug 23 2004 04:00 PM
Re: is the cape verde way a real slow mover?	Frank P	Mon Aug 23 2004 04:50 PM
Re: is the cape verde way a real slow mover?	LONNY307	Mon Aug 23 2004 05:24 PM
Re: is the cape verde way a real slow mover?	Steve	Mon Aug 23 2004 05:34 PM
longtracker season	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 23 2004 07:14 PM
Re: may not be a fish	Tropics Guy	Mon Aug 23 2004 08:08 PM
Re: may not be a fish	bobbi	Tue Aug 24 2004 09:10 AM
Re: may not be a fish	Hardcore	Tue Aug 24 2004 10:19 AM
Subtropical System and Frank	Keith234	Tue Aug 24 2004 10:31 AM
Re: Subtropical System and Frank	scottsvb	Tue Aug 24 2004 12:32 PM
50/50 probability on fishing with 96L per models... still early	Frank P	Tue Aug 24 2004 01:04 PM
Re: 50/50 probability on fishing with 96L per models... still early	Anonymous	Tue Aug 24 2004 01:12 PM
Re: 50/50 probability on fishing with 96L per models... still early	Frank P	Tue Aug 24 2004 01:19 PM
Re: 50/50 probability on fishing with 96L per models... still early	Anonymous	Tue Aug 24 2004 01:32 PM
this is reasonable	Frank P	Tue Aug 24 2004 01:26 PM
Re: this is reasonable	joepub1	Tue Aug 24 2004 01:40 PM
Re: this is reasonable	Anonymous	Tue Aug 24 2004 01:48 PM
Re: this is reasonable	rmbjoe1954	Tue Aug 24 2004 02:00 PM
frances forthcoming/southeast coast	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 24 2004 02:55 PM
Re: frances forthcoming/southeast coast	Cycloneye	Tue Aug 24 2004 03:03 PM
Re: 96L very close to being a TD	Tropics Guy	Tue Aug 24 2004 03:10 PM
Re: 96L very close to being a TD	EriktheFled	Tue Aug 24 2004 04:26 PM
Re: 96L very close to being a TD-not at 5:00	LI Phil	Tue Aug 24 2004 04:52 PM
Re: 96L very close to being a TD-not at 5:00	Clark	Tue Aug 24 2004 07:31 PM
Re: 96L very close to being a TD-at 11:00?	Tropics Guy	Tue Aug 24 2004 08:57 PM
Re: 96L very close to being a TD-at 11:00?	LI Phil	Tue Aug 24 2004 09:12 PM
Re: 96L very close to being a TD-at 11:00?	Tropics Guy	Tue Aug 24 2004 10:01 PM
TD 6	Jamiewx	Tue Aug 24 2004 10:11 PM
Re: TD 6 DELETED	danielw	Tue Aug 24 2004 10:35 PM
Re: TD 6	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 24 2004 11:02 PM
TD Advisory #1	recmod	Tue Aug 24 2004 10:27 PM
Re: TD 6 Discussion #1	recmod	Tue Aug 24 2004 10:32 PM
we have T.D. 6	Jamiewx	Tue Aug 24 2004 09:45 PM
Re: we have T.D. 6	LI Phil	Tue Aug 24 2004 09:51 PM
Re: we have T.D. 6	EriktheFled	Tue Aug 24 2004 10:58 PM
Re: 96L very close to being a TD-not at 5:00	Kevin	Tue Aug 24 2004 05:26 PM
Back	Kevin	Tue Aug 24 2004 05:24 PM
Re: 96L very close to being a TD-not at 5:00	Steve	Tue Aug 24 2004 05:16 PM
Re: Subtropical System and Frank	SirCane	Tue Aug 24 2004 12:31 PM
may not be a landlubber either	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 24 2004 12:34 AM
Re: is the cape verde way a real slow mover?	Frank P	Mon Aug 23 2004 05:33 PM
Quick post from the 'sick bed.'	LI Phil	Mon Aug 23 2004 05:10 PM
Re: Activity Again	Cycloneye	Sat Aug 21 2004 10:01 AM
Re: Activity Again	danielw	Sat Aug 21 2004 10:54 AM
Carribean activity this am	Frank P	Sat Aug 21 2004 11:34 AM
cape verde system in the works	HanKFranK	Sat Aug 21 2004 11:43 AM
Re: cape verde system in the works	Frank P	Sat Aug 21 2004 11:53 AM
Re: cape verde system in the works	Gulf Coast	Sat Aug 21 2004 11:55 AM
Re: cape verde system in the works	Frank P	Sat Aug 21 2004 12:18 PM
Re: cape verde system in the works	LI Phil	Sat Aug 21 2004 03:49 PM
Re: Charley damage/ Cape verde system	Tropics Guy	Sat Aug 21 2004 09:06 PM
Re: Charley damage/ Cape verde system	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 21 2004 09:45 PM
epac and mjo	bobbi	Sun Aug 22 2004 11:33 AM
Re: epac and mjo	GuppieGrouper	Sun Aug 22 2004 12:15 PM
Re: epac and mjo	James88	Sun Aug 22 2004 03:33 PM
Last dance with Frances?	rmbjoe1954	Sun Aug 22 2004 04:20 PM
Re: Last dance with Frances?	James88	Sun Aug 22 2004 04:32 PM
Is the wave dancing?	LoisCane	Sun Aug 22 2004 06:37 PM
Re: Is the wave dancing?	Ed Dunham	Sun Aug 22 2004 10:22 PM
Re: Is the wave dancing?	Keith234	Mon Aug 23 2004 08:07 AM
96L invest for east atlantic wave	Cycloneye	Mon Aug 23 2004 08:39 AM
Re: 96L invest for east atlantic wave	Anonymous	Mon Aug 23 2004 09:41 AM
Re: 96L invest for east atlantic wave	Cycloneye	Mon Aug 23 2004 09:47 AM
Re: 96L invest for east atlantic wave	Anonymous	Mon Aug 23 2004 09:10 AM
Re: 96L invest for east atlantic wave	Keith234	Mon Aug 23 2004 09:13 AM
new wave	HanKFranK	Sat Aug 21 2004 11:25 AM

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