I don't think you can measure the chance of the New England area getting hit with a hurricane, mainly because hurricanes aren't cyclic. They're totally random, as far as we know to this day they can change course in a matter of hours sometimes for no reason. Maybe if thermodynamics were better understood we might see patterns hurricanes but until for now, we just forecast them.
-------------------- "I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
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