The models (this is from the NHC Discussion) are all over the place with this thing. They referred to them I believe as a "squashed spider" as far their tracks go. I just looked at the Melbourne weather loop, and I do not see any change in westward movement right now.
As far as the NHC goes, I don't think they have a good handle on it either. Just read the discussion, and you'll see what I mean.
-------------------- You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.