one big difference here.. earl didnt have subsidence nudging up against it quite so hard. got fairly well organized before the shearing started, too. 98L has neither of these conveniences.. if it can organize i'm thinking something like harvey '99 or josephine '96.
convection really slacked off this evening, too. what that probably means is we get another weak persistent system that maybe rains a lot but never develops much. big wonder here is how well it recovers and develops, not what its limits will be... they are pretty low.
earl.. i was near charleston at the time and remember a couple of good rain squalls. the system was extratropical as it came by, with all of the weather ahead of the low. earl was taken up in a pretty strong late summer amplification.. something that will miss 98L. thats another difference.
HF 2348z11september
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