THE MAIN IMPACT THIS DECISION WILL HAVE ON OUR FORECAST WILL BE WIND DIRECTION ON SUN AND, MORE IMPORTANTLY, SEVERE WX THREAT. THE NAM LOOKS SCARY. HOWEVER, EVEN THE GFS SOLUTION WOULD POSE PROBLEMS. THIS MODEL DOESN'T ALLOW THE VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE TROPICAL AIRMASS TO REACH THE COAST, LIKE THE NAM DOES. HOWEVER, WIND PROFILES ARE STILL IMPRESSIVE. IN ADDITION, STRONG DPVA AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AT THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A GULF JET STREAK WILL ALSO BE POSITIVE CONTRIBUTERS TO A SEVERE WX THREAT. DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK JUST ARRIVED AND SUPPORTS THIS THINKING. THE DEGREE OF SEVERE WILL BE DEPENDENT ON HOW FAR N THE SURFACE INSTABILITY GETS. THE WARM FRONT COULD ENHANCE SHEAR AND THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES. FOR NOW, WE WILL JUST MENTION ALL OF THESE POSSIBILITIES IN THE HWO AND HOLD OFF ON ANY ENHANCED WORDING IN THE ZONES.
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