....ATLC TROPICS... TDAS MODEL RUNS MUCH MORE EMPHATIC ON POTENTIAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE CARRIBEAN BASIN MID TO LATE WEEK. ECMWF AND UKMET PREFER WRN CARIB WHERE CURRENTLY WIDESPREAD CONVECTION HAS INCREASED ON BOTH SIDE OF LOWER CENTRAL AMERICA. MODELS TAKE A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON A NWWD TRACK INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BY NEXT WEEKEND..A PREFERRED SOLUTION BY TPC/HPC COORDINATION TAKING A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NW. EWD A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE EAST CARRIBEAN BASIN IS PREFERRED BY GFS AND CANADIAN TO LIFT NWD BRINGING POTENTIAL FOR SOME HVY RAINFALL TO THE ERN GREATER ANTILLES. 06Z GFS AND NOGAPS RUNS LIKE BOTH OF THESE SOLUTIONS.
Looks like the Caribbean and GOM are getting primed for some action...this does bear watching, even though nothing has developed quite yet.
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