This one's easy. When your (Manatee) County EOC orders an evacuation. There are usually evacuation zones, and you are well-away from any storm surge flooding potential. Also, since your home is site-built (as opposed to a mobile home), the track would need to go sharply right to imagine an evacuation order for your neighborhood.
Two caveats; 1) Pay attention to the experts, especially the NHC and this site's meterorolgists 2) If you have special needs or are anxious, err on the side of caution and head east...
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Re: to evacuate or not?
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