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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Random Chaos
Weather Analyst

Reged:
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland

Re: 12
Tue Aug 23 2005 07:34 PM

OrlandoDan:

The models are highly divergent. Some take it south of Florida into the Gulf (BAM). Others take it over FL into the Gulf (CMC, NOGAPS, UKMET). And still others take it into FL, bounce it off, then have it move up along the coast and hit NC (GFS, LBAR).

Take a look at the tracks here:
http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/archive/model/AL122005mlts.gif
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_12.gif

Unfortunately, a number of the models don't show on the above spegetti plots, but you can see several here:
http://met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/

EDIT: Fixed model names to match latest model tracks...was using noon models from memory in original post

--RC

Edited by Random Chaos (Tue Aug 23 2005 07:38 PM)

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Katrina Forms Near the Bahamas, Tropical Storm Watches up Vero South	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:34 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Katrina Forms Near the Bahamas, Tropical Storm Watches up Vero South	Beaumont, TX	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:53 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 12 Forms Near the Bahamas, Tropical Storm Watches up Vero South	SirCane	Wed Aug 24 2005 12:25 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 12 Forms Near the Bahamas	abyrd	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:41 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 12 Forms Near the Bahamas	Steve H1	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:48 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 12 Forms Near the Bahamas	Fletch	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:46 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 12 Forms Near the Bahamas	LoisCane	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:34 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 12 Forms Near the Bahamas	Old Sailor	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:50 PM
5pm disco	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:06 PM
Re: 5pm disco	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:18 PM
Re: 5pm disco	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:24 PM
Re: 5pm disco	MikeG	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:32 PM
Re: 5pm disco	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:23 PM
Re: 5pm disco	trunk	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:44 PM
Re: 5pm disco	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:41 PM
Re: 5pm disco	MikeG	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:46 PM
Re: 5pm disco	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:57 PM
Re: 5pm disco	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:45 PM
Re: 5pm disco	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:06 PM
Re: 5pm disco	Ed in Va	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:11 PM
Re: 5pm disco	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:26 PM
Re: 5pm disco	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:17 PM
Re: 5pm disco	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:22 PM
Awaiting 5pm	WXMAN RICHIE	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:30 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	MissBecky	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:43 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	WXMAN RICHIE	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:58 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Justin in Miami	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:34 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Multi-Decadal Signal	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:01 PM
12	Bloodstar	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:58 PM
Re: 12	OrlandoDan	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:26 PM
Re: 12	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:34 PM
Re: 12	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:37 PM
Re: 12	hurricaneye	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:45 PM
Re: 12	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:54 PM
Re: 12	Big Red Machine	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:04 PM
Re: 12	Trinidad31	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:00 PM
katrina problems	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:34 PM
Re: katrina problems	Clark	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:41 PM
Local WPB Meteorologists take	WXMAN RICHIE	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:53 PM
Satellite	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:49 PM
Re: Satellite	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:51 PM
Re: katrina problems	Justin in Miami	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:07 PM
Re: katrina problems	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:31 PM
Re: katrina problems	ftlaudbob	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:35 PM
Re: katrina problems	WXMAN RICHIE	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:30 PM
Re: katrina problems	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:15 PM
Re: katrina problems	ftlaudbob	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:33 PM
Re: katrina problems	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:52 PM
Re: katrina problems	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:38 PM
Re: katrina problems	Genesis	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:56 PM
Re: katrina problems	orlando fl	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:00 PM
UPDATED Forecast	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:01 PM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:07 PM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:10 PM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	Old Sailor	Wed Aug 24 2005 12:08 AM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	ralphfl	Wed Aug 24 2005 12:14 AM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	Clark	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:51 PM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	DebbiePSL	Wed Aug 24 2005 12:11 AM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	Old Sailor	Wed Aug 24 2005 12:14 AM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	DebbiePSL	Wed Aug 24 2005 12:25 AM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	ralphfl	Wed Aug 24 2005 12:33 AM
Watch and Warnings Graphics	danielw	Wed Aug 24 2005 12:47 AM
Re: Watch and Warnings Graphics	Storm Hunter	Wed Aug 24 2005 01:41 AM
Re: Watch and Warnings Graphics	Storm Hunter	Wed Aug 24 2005 01:58 AM
Re: Watch and Warnings Graphics	Storm Hunter	Wed Aug 24 2005 02:13 AM
Supplementary Vortex	danielw	Wed Aug 24 2005 02:35 AM
Re: Supplementary Vortex	Clark	Wed Aug 24 2005 02:39 AM
Re: Supplementary Vortex	Storm Hunter	Wed Aug 24 2005 02:54 AM
Re: Supplementary Vortex	Storm Hunter	Wed Aug 24 2005 03:34 AM
Re: Supplementary Vortex	Storm Hunter	Wed Aug 24 2005 04:03 AM
Re: Supplementary Vortex	Storm Hunter	Wed Aug 24 2005 04:36 AM
Re: Supplementary Vortex	Steve H1	Wed Aug 24 2005 07:09 AM
Re: Supplementary Vortex	Big Red Machine	Wed Aug 24 2005 07:15 AM
Re: Supplementary Vortex	Southern4sure	Wed Aug 24 2005 07:35 AM
Re: Supplementary Vortex	Big Red Machine	Wed Aug 24 2005 07:45 AM
Re: Supplementary Vortex	NONAME	Wed Aug 24 2005 07:55 AM
Re: Supplementary Vortex	emackl	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:02 AM
South Fl...	Beach	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:07 AM
Re: South Fl...	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:10 AM
Re: South Fl...	Ron Basso	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:23 AM
Re: South Fl...	TomKuhn	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:40 AM
Re: South Fl...	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:44 AM
Re: South Fl...	Tazmanian93	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:45 AM
Re: South Fl...	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:48 AM
advisories	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:40 AM
Re: advisories	naples	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:53 AM
Re: advisories	Ron Basso	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:02 AM
Re: advisories	nl	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:07 AM
Re: advisories	Ron Basso	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:26 AM
Re: advisories	ftlaudbob	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:34 AM
Re: advisories	The Force 2005	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:38 AM
Re: advisories	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:29 AM
Re: advisories	Beach	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:48 AM
Re: advisories	VolusiaMike	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:55 AM
Re: advisories	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:57 AM
Re: advisories	nl	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:59 AM
Re: advisories	emackl	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:09 AM
Re: advisories	Beaumont, TX	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:14 AM
superstition	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:22 AM
Re: superstition	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:39 AM
Re: superstition	Hootowl	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:29 AM
Re: superstition	Ron Basso	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:49 AM
Re: superstition	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:57 AM
Re: superstition	The Force 2005	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:14 AM
Re: superstition	Ed in Va	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:23 AM
Re: superstition	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:26 AM
Re: superstition	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:30 AM
update	susieq	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:42 AM
Re: update	native	Wed Aug 24 2005 11:32 AM
Re: update	ralphfl	Wed Aug 24 2005 11:14 AM
New Thread	Clark	Wed Aug 24 2005 11:50 AM
Re: superstition	Fletch	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:39 AM
Re: superstition	Fletch	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:28 AM
Katrina	Rick on boat in Mobile	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:08 AM
Re: superstition	Fletch	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:01 AM
Re: superstition	Tazmanian93	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:11 AM
Re: superstition	stormchazer	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:09 AM
Re: superstition	Beach	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:01 AM
Re: superstition	rmbjoe1954	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:04 AM
Re: superstition	Ed in Va	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:26 AM
Re: superstition	Beaumont, TX	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:00 AM
Re: superstition	Ed in Va	Wed Aug 24 2005 10:06 AM
Re: superstition	rmbjoe1954	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:30 AM
Re: advisories	nl	Wed Aug 24 2005 09:19 AM
Bahamas Radar	Jamiewx	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:27 AM
Jim in Miami Beach	Miami Beach, FLA USA	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:18 AM
Now a Tropical Storm	Beach	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:19 AM
Re: Now a Tropical Storm	Myles	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:39 AM
Re: Now a Tropical Storm	Miami Beach, FLA USA	Wed Aug 24 2005 08:41 AM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	DebbiePSL	Wed Aug 24 2005 12:17 AM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	Sheeper	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:20 PM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	DebbiePSL	Wed Aug 24 2005 12:08 AM
Re: UPDATED Forecast	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:17 PM
Re: katrina problems	dem05	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:51 PM
Re: katrina problems	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 11:08 PM
Re: katrina problems	ftlaudbob	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:48 PM
Re: katrina problems	ftlaudbob	Tue Aug 23 2005 10:53 PM
Re: katrina problems	Multi-Decadal Signal	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:55 PM
Re: katrina problems	danielw	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:47 PM
Re: katrina problems	Frank P	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:57 PM
Re: 12	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:14 PM
Re: 12	Frank P	Tue Aug 23 2005 09:18 PM
Re: 12	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:51 PM
Re: 12	rmbjoe1954	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:38 PM
Re: 12	Gainesville, FL	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:47 PM
Re: 12	DebbiePSL	Tue Aug 23 2005 08:05 PM
Re: 12	OrlandoDan	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:43 PM
Re: 12	Wxwatcher2	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:02 PM
Re: 12	DebbiePSL	Tue Aug 23 2005 07:07 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	RyanRedCross1	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:06 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	pcola	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:12 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	pcola	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:04 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Big Red Machine	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:18 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Polkpundit	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:23 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Big Red Machine	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:31 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	DebbiePSL	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:54 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:33 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Thunderbird12	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:37 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Fletch	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:37 PM
A few notes	Clark	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:24 PM
Re: TD 13	MapMaster	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:44 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:48 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	pcola	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:52 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	recmod	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:12 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Random Chaos	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:21 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Jamiewx	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:26 PM
Bahamas Radar	Jamiewx	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:45 PM
TD 12	Rich B	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:50 PM
Re: TD 12	goawaycane	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:28 PM
Re: TD 12	pcola	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:31 PM
Re: TD 12	CocoCrk	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:50 PM
Re: TD 12	goawaycane	Tue Aug 23 2005 06:34 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	pcola	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:20 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	XLM	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:56 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Ed in Va	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:58 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Rabbit	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:03 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	notsignedin	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:05 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:14 PM
Katrina	Rick on boat in Mobile	Tue Aug 23 2005 05:24 PM
Re: Awaiting 5pm	Fletch	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:32 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 12 Forms Near the Bahamas	Old Sailor	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:00 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 12 Forms Near the Bahamas	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Tue Aug 23 2005 04:06 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 12 Forms Near the Bahamas	scottsvb	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:37 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 12 Forms Near the Bahamas	Thunderbird12	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:59 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 12 Forms Near the Bahamas	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2005 03:36 PM

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