As for the GFDL, the GFDL wasn't predicting the southward jog until this afternoon. It was predicted very close to the coastline, so we still have to watch for it.
I just checked the storm-centered IR floater at CMISS and the floater is moving due-west.
The radar from NWS in Miami is showing an almost complete stall with the only apparent motion to the south southwest! (Just a half hour ago it was showing a west southwest track) Take a look for yourself and tell me if you're seeing the same thing I am about the movement of the center of rotation. I'd like someone to confirm what I'm seeing.
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