Look how close together these models are. Go by those N.O. may be spared. Looks more like a Mobile/Boloxi hit if you go by that. People should not let their guard down anywhere up here.
-------------------- Direct Hits:
Hurricane Erin (1995) 100 mph
Hurricane Opal (1995) 115 mph
Hurricane Ivan (2004) 130 mph
Hurricane Dennis (2005) 120 mph
http://www.hardcoreweather.com