Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 199531 Years of Hurricanes Without the Hype - Since 1995
A closed low is likely to form in the W Gulf by Saturday and generate copious rains for several days in NE MX, south, east and coastal TX.
Flat
As for what was expected, I can't speak eloquently about what other people think, but I'm pretty sure the mets never backed down from 20+ foot estimates of surge.

